Living With COVID-19 In the Financial Markets

   

After screeching to a halt in March and April, the global economy has begun to show signs of forward progress. In day to day life, people are adapting to the pandemic. Health experts are advancing credible plans for emerging from lockdown, and testing and contact tracing may bolster health care capacity as we try to return to work.

Despite this tentative reprieve from doom and gloom, economic data remains at odds with bullish price action in risk assets. Can the good times last?

Rather than predict the outcome, we believe investors should learn to live with our new COVID-19 reality. Fortunately, with a few little tweaks, investors can apply medical experts’ day-to-day recommendations to their portfolios. Just as in life, there is no 100% insurance against COVID-19, but reasonable steps can help investors manage through these difficult times.

Lockdown: Minimize Unnecessary Stock Market Interactions

As cabin fever sets in, we believe investors should consider avoiding all but the most essential trips to brokerage websites. Unfortunately, it appears few are following this guideline. Retail interest in stocks resembles that of past bubble peaks: The number of positions on Robinhood has skyrocketed amid lockdowns, suggesting a flood of inexperienced daytraders into the markets.

Robinhood stock positions spike during coronavirus crisis

Source: Robintrack.net.

We counsel against this type of frivolous excursion. If you have to stay glued to a screen, consider Robin Hood: Men in Tights instead of Robinhood for iOS.

Testing and Contact Tracing

Just as hand-washing may reduce contagion risk, routine activities can help investors take a prudent approach to risk. Investors and advisors should revisit risk budgets and align portfolios with drawdown tolerance. Those who were unable to stomach the first-quarter stock market drop should reevaluate their stock allocation, and consider how diversifiers and trend following strategies might ease the risk-reward tradeoff.

Risk Mitigation Equipment

Masks help prevent COVID spread. Similarly, specific tools can help manage risk in investor portfolios. Alternative strategies and cash have historically offered relative safety during tumultuous markets.

Investors have lately been scratching their heads at an apparent disconnect between economic damage from the pandemic and apparent stock market optimism. In such environments investors might consider systematic investment processes that seek to minimize emotional, short-term decisions. Better-defined processes can keep managers from making bad situations worse.

Many investment strategies with less relationships to market movements, such as long-short alternative equity strategies and trend following strategies, experienced reduced volatility as markets fell in early 2020. Such strategies may help insulate portfolios from further market shocks, and deserve consideration during the pandemic.

Conclusion

With no clear path for a quick return to “normal,” we feel investors need to adjust their day-to-day lives for the reality of a persistent COVID-19 pandemic. Fortunately, expert guidelines that combat the real-world disease can be adapted to investor decisions. Avoiding needless contact with the stock market, properly testing and cleaning up portfolio risk allocations, and using risk mitigation equipment like alternative investment strategies could be reasonable ways to accommodate this new reality. To navigate this tumultuous period, investors should accept the limits of what they can know and make the most of the precautionary resources at their disposal.

Important Risk Information

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.  There is no guarantee that any investment will achieve its objectives, generate positive returns, or avoid losses.  The Adviser’s reliance on its strategy and judgments about the attractiveness, value and potential appreciation of particular securities and the tactical allocation among investments may prove to be incorrect and may not produce the desired results.

Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the funds managed by Counterpoint Mutual Funds. This and other important information about the funds are available in their prospectuses, which can be obtained at counterpointfunds.com or by calling 844-273-8637. The prospectuses should be read carefully before investing. The Counterpoint Mutual Funds fund family is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC member FINRA/SIPC. Counterpoint Mutual Funds, LLC is not affiliated with Northern Lights Distributors, LLC member FINRA/SIPC.

3685-NLD-6/22/2020

Recent Perspectives

What Tactical High Yield Can Do for a Portfolio

Tactical high yield strategies historically have been shown to improve long-run portfolio returns and risk. When used alongside traditional 60-40 stock-and-bond allocations, tactical high yield has a historical...

READ MORE

Managing Risk in a Post-YOLO Market

In 2020, innovation-focused visionaries and YOLO option traders on Reddit message boards were an unmistakable force in the U.S. stock market. Unprofitable tech companies and meme stocks (“stonks”)...

READ MORE
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Mutual Funds involve risk including the possible loss of principal. Investors should carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the funds managed by Counterpoint Funds. This and other important information about the funds is available in their prospectuses, which can be obtained at counterpointfunds.com or by calling 844-273-8637. The prospectuses should be read carefully before investing. The Counterpoint Funds fund family is distributed by Northern Lights Distributors, LLC member FINRA/SIPC. To reach the Counterpoint sales team, please refer to our contact page. 5516-NLD-09/01/2021    

Thank you!

We’ve received your request for the featured event collateral. A Counterpoint Funds team member will be in touch shortly.

Subscribe to stay up to date on and receive our monthly perspective.

Thank you!

We’ve received your meeting request and a Counterpoint Funds team member will be in touch shortly.

Subscribe to stay up to date on and receive our monthly perspective.

Thank you!

We’ve received your event registration request and will be in touch shortly.

Subscribe to stay up to date on Counterpoint Funds and receive our monthly perspective.

Thank you!

We have received your application and look forward to reviewing your qualifications for the role. If your application seems like a good fit, we will contact you to discuss next steps.

Thank you again for your application and interest in joining the Counterpoint team!

Thank you!

We’ve received your message. A Counterpoint Funds team member will contact you soon.

Subscribe to stay up to date and receive our monthly perspective.